Sports wagering is often very profitable if an individual know the secrets often the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make cash. The most significant secrets that clever money bettors use will be knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a ideal example of this. I analyzed often the Rest of the world California vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West Florida had the particular edge in the game. Nonetheless I actually also noticed that there are a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not wager on this game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This video game has all the symptoms of being one of the very best games associated with the year, having both teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, with West Virginia coming back again from appearing down massive in the final 1 / 4 to winning inside overtime, however,.
So what’s the adventure seem like this year?
In the event this match were as played with a fairly neutral field, West Virginia will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented throw. Many people haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROAD games.
These kind of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, often the included added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like very much, but in a near match-up this way, that extra point might make the variation between a good push together with a loss.
But you may be wondering what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s figures may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their final 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home games.
Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since 12 20, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. four points per game in your house, while averaging only giving up 15. 8 points for every game with home. In case anyone decided not to do the math concepts, that means given that their last home damage they also have averaged beating their particular opposing team by about 34 details per game.
Furthermore extraordinary, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, by way of 13 things per video game at home due to the fact 2003.
Wow… how can you go against that?
The majority of those stats have been accumulated during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They also have experienced recent games by which they already have only scored 35, twenty-three, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Kentkucky St. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
paypoochai is the fact that this is still a new close activity to phone. Although what I look intended for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice will be to lay off this specific game and not really bet at all. There happen to be better activities this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut rewards.
The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return a punt for the TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s advantage wasn’t so big which they can still win following doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on that game, people serious concerning wagering saved money these people can offer better make use of on approaching games.